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Audit ledger/b288881c

USX

CRITICAL→BLACK_SWAN·stable_dn·conf low

Detected Tue, 14 Jul 2026 11:52:38 GMT

Methodology

Version
v0.5.0source
Git SHA
fbdc82edd1ae417b2af0f4861fdea739b1695f96
Assets snapshot
snapshot: eef84d4

Changes when assets.toml is edited. Does not change methodology behavior.

Receipt sha256
a8f28f3ac6c182b1171a52b005cb190b07f1d1ed82a125c8a68eb06377fe36f7

Computed

Discount
-694 bps
Final state
BLACK_SWAN
Confidence
low
Intrinsic / Market
1.000000000000000000 / 1.085510670000000000
Full computed JSON
{
  "confidence_label": "low",
  "discount_raw": "-0.08551067",
  "discount_smooth": "-0.0693710993110999471860868595",
  "final_state": "BLACKSWAN"
}

Inputs (frozen)

These are the exact inputs the methodology saw at decision time. Pyth quotes, intrinsic snapshots, EWMA prior, threshold map — all serialized into the receipt for deterministic replay.

Show inputs JSON
{
  "alpha": "0.3",
  "asset": "USX",
  "candidate_since": "2026-07-14T11:52:07.973790348Z",
  "candidate_state": "BLACKSWAN",
  "class": "stable_dn",
  "confirm_up_secs": 30,
  "decay_down_secs": 120,
  "ewma_prev": "-0.0624541404444284959801240850",
  "hyusd_cr": "1.3783340072289149192230276459",
  "intrinsic_sol": null,
  "intrinsic_usd": "1",
  "market_sol": null,
  "market_usd": "1.08551067",
  "now": "2026-07-14T11:52:38.379583679Z",
  "previous_state": "CRITICAL",
  "pyth_entries": {
    "USX/USD": {
      "confidence": "0.08449933",
      "price": "1.08551067",
      "publish_time": "2026-07-14T11:52:32Z"
    }
  },
  "threshold_kind": "bps",
  "thresholds": {
    "critical": 300,
    "depeg": 100,
    "drift": 25
  }
}

Replay this alert

Install the verifier from releases.pegana.xyz and check this receipt against the open-source methodology crate.

curl --proto '=https' --tlsv1.2 -LsSf \
  https://releases.pegana.xyz/pegana-replay-installer.sh | sh
pegana-replay --alert-id b288881c-3c78-43a5-953c-aa5b8b681a52
Download replay bundleHow to verify

Or verify right here — no install needed. This button re-fetches the replay bundle and recomputes the receipt hash in your browser using the same algorithm as the CLI.

On-chain commitment

Not anchored. On-chain SPL Memo commitment is cost-gated to high-severity transitions only — DEPEG, CRITICAL, and BLACK_SWAN — because each commit costs ~5,000 lamports and the operator wallet runs lean. The receipt is still cryptographically verifiable offline via the inputs above.

Pegana is a verifiable computation log for peg-state decisions. It is not SOC 2 compliance, not a regulatory audit, and not financial advice.

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